A Bye-Ku for Julian Castro

A 2020 guest series by Anne Maloney, inspired by James Taranto.

A Bye-Ku for Julian Castro

Dems get whiter as
“post-Hispanic” guy leaves: not
The next Obama.

Julian Castro looking just a little bit silly.
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Bye-Kus for Sestak and Bullock

A 2020 guest series, inspired by James Taranto. Today’s bye-kus brought to you by an anonymous donor.

Two for one today!
A Cyber Monday special!
Goodbye Joe and Steve!

A Bye-Ku for Joe Sestak

Joe for President!
No idea who you are
Too late – Joe is done

A Bye-Ku for Steve Bullock

Steve Bullock is out.
The winnowing continues.
Only 16 left.

The editor regrets to announce that there are no pictures in this installment of bye-kus, because both these people are so obscure nationally that there are no sufficiently silly pictures of them to be found.

It sure is a sick burn that Steve Bullock’s bye-ku ended up being about everyone except Steve Bullock, isn’t it?

 

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A Bye-Ku for Tim Ryan

Rep. Tim Ryan meditates with schoolchildren.A 2020 guest series by Anne Maloney, inspired by James Taranto.

A Bye-Ku for Tim Ryan

Back to Quiet Time
And pursuit of Mindfulness
But, really: Tim Who?

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Okay, Let’s Impeach the President

Opening text of House Resolution 116-13, impeaching President Trump for Russiagate.
The initial House resolution to impeach President Trump is WAY shorter than this post. It doesn’t have as many jokes, though.

Well, that’s quite a headline!

My left-wing readers may have smiled at it, pleased I’ve come around, perhaps even developing a Strange New Respect for me. So let’s start this off by making sure this post makes nobody happy:

I can hardly stand my left-wing friends right now.

They want President Trump’s head on a pike—for Ukraine, for Justice Kavanaugh, for being a pillock, whatever gets an impeachment through. I sympathize! President Trump stinks! He’s leagues better than I expected, but that isn’t a high bar… and I speak as someone who agrees with a lot of Trump’s agenda.

But my left-wing friends are unable to admit, to even the tiniest degree, that Trump is the victim of a double standard. I pointed it out in my last piece, and the only response I got to that piece from anyone on the left was spin so hard a whirling dervish couldn’t keep up.

President Clinton’s perjury? “Well, that was just a blow job.” Never mind the clear-cut federal crime!

President Obama lied to the nation and abused his interpretive authority (in pretty much the same way Trump did with his “emergency powers” declaration) so that he could fork over millions of dollars in ransom money to an adversarial terrorist state. He also violated the plain text of the Constitution and stomped all over the separation of powers to satisfy—by openly tyrannical means—the policy demands of his political base. “Well, he was just doing what he thought best for the nation,” my left-wing friends reply, “His heart was in the right place!” as though good intentions (even if Obama really had them) undid one jot of the lasting damage Obama’s imperial will did to the Constitution.

How about that illegal war in Libya? “Well… but… well… Iran-Contra!” Never mind the tu quoque (which is called “whataboutism” only when the Left dislikes it), never mind the fact Reagan would’ve been impeached had his involvement been proved. Never mind that Reagan would’ve deserved it! The holy name of Saint Obama the “Scandal-Free” must be protected unsullied, so the fact that he was guilty as sin of half a dozen impeachable offenses must be explained away by whatever means are at hand.

Continue reading

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“The Coming Collapse of the Middle Class”

I’ve started watching more scholarly talks on YouTube lately. I never used to do this, because talks are sooo slow and take sooo much time out of my day, and I could go read three or four articles of the same length in the same time. But somebody recently showed me the “Playback Speed” button on YouTube, which allows you to make the video go faster (or slower, if you’re weird). Now I can finish an hour-long talk in 30 minutes — less, if I skip the throat-clearing at the start and the beginning!

If you want a great place to start doing this, and you like law (and isn’t that kind of a prerequisite for enjoying my blog?), go check out the talk “Assorted Canards of Contemporary Analysis Redux” by Amy Coney Barrett and learn why you, too, should hope that she becomes America’s next Supreme Court justice.

But Judge Barrett is not the subject of this blog post. A different woman is:

This is a really good talk. It’s engaging, it tells a good story, the story is important, it’s not a story conservatives have been listening to (until “Tucker Carlson conservatism” suddenly became A Thing a couple years ago)… and, from what I have been able to gather, the story is true.

In the interest of fairness, Matt Bruenig (who is also on the Left) offers a critique of the book this talk is based on here. I have not read Warren’s book, and maybe Bruenig’s critique holds up better there. However, I don’t think Bruenig’s critique holds up against this talk.

Even after adjusting CPI-U to CPI-U-RS (as Bruenig recommends), the degree to which male-earner wages and two-income-household discretionary income have been held down over the past several decades, against the backdrop of skyrocketing productivity gains, is astonishing. He appears to be correct that using CPI-U-RS is more accurate, and that doing so means families today have slightly more discretionary income rather than slightly less. That does wreck one of the bigger headlines from the talk. But the introduction of an entire second income should have resulted in much larger discretionary income, not a virtual wash. We lose the headline, but the dire news for the middle class persists.

Bruenig also suggests that Warren should have adjusted for CPI by category rather than CPI overall. Well, Bruenig and Warren are both more trained than I am, but it seems to me that Warren has the better of the argument here. What we’re interested in here is how the overall family budget has been impacted after factoring out overall changes in nominal price. The fact that nominal home prices grew more slowly relative to other items in the basket of goods is not of interest; we aren’t ultimately trying to find out how much more expensive one square foot of housing is today (which is where the categorized CPI would be the right measurement), but how much cost pressure housing imposes on the average middle-class family, which requires a holistic view of the entire basket of goods.

I dunno, maybe I have that wrong–economists, let me know in the comments–but I’m finding Warren’s analysis in this talk more credible than Bruenig’s critique.

I would never vote for Elizabeth Warren; too many of her views are abhorrent, especially as she has moved left to pick up progressive base voters, and many of her most recent policy solutions to these problems would be a calamity. But, if I were President and could make her my financial regulations, antitrust, and bankruptcy czar, I’d probably do just that In conclusion, this is a good talk. Especially if you watch it at x2 speed.

(Next time on De Civitate: why I’m furious with my friends over on the left side of the aisle, and why I think Congress should impeach and convict President Trump anyway.)

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Some Laws

I run into various laws on the Internet. Sometimes I have a hard time finding them again later. In this post, I will collect some of them, chiefly for my own reference but also because several of them are funny. The list may grow over time.

Hofstadter’s Law

It always takes longer than you expect, even when you take into account Hofstadter’s Law.

Johnson‘s First Law of Episcopal Thermodynamics

Every joke you make about the Episcopal Church eventually comes true.

Poe’s Law

In writing, it is impossible to tell a parody of extremism apart from actual extremism.

(The original formulation was narrower.)

Parkinson’s Law of Triviality (The Bicycle-Shed Effect)

The time spent on any item of the agenda will be in inverse proportion to the sum of money involved.

“Parkinson provides the example of a fictional committee whose job was to approve the plans for a nuclear power plant spending the majority of its time on discussions about relatively minor but easy-to-grasp issues, such as what materials to use for the staff bike shed, while neglecting the proposed design of the plant itself, which is far more important and a far more difficult and complex task.” –wiki

Jones’s Bicycle-Shed Corollary

The more people understand something, the more willing they are to argue about it, and the more vigorously they will do so.

Dreher’s Law of Merited Impossibility

It’s a complete absurdity to believe that Christians will suffer a single thing from the expansion of LGBTQ rights, and boy, do they deserve what they’re going to get.

Cargill’s Law (The 90-90 Rule)

In any software development project, the first 90 percent of the code accounts for the first 90 percent of the development time. The remaining 10 percent of the code accounts for the other 90 percent of the development time.

Campbell’s Law (aka the Law of Teaching to the Test)

The more any quantitative social indicator is used for social decision-making, the more subject it will be to corruption pressures and the more apt it will be to distort and corrupt the social processes it is intended to monitor.

Neuhaus’s Law

Where orthodoxy is optional, orthodoxy will sooner or later be proscribed.

However, one Charles Porterfield Krauth may be better credited with this law, as he wrote in 1872:

Truth started with tolerating; it comes to be merely tolerated, and that only for a time. Error claims a preference for its judgments on all disputed points.

Doctorow’s Law

Anytime someone puts a lock on something you own, against your wishes, and doesn’t give you the key, they’re not doing it for your benefit.

Betteridge’s Law of Headlines

Any headline that ends in a question mark can be answered by the word “no.”

Hodes’ Law

Gentlemen avoid the excluded middle.

Thane’s Law

Permanent majorities aren’t; emerging majorities don’t.

(Possibly derived from Osborn’s Law.)

Heal‘s Law

The standard is not perfection. The standard is the alternative.

Conquest’s Three Laws of Politics

  1. Everyone is conservative about what he knows best.
  2. Any organization not explicitly right-wing sooner or later becomes left-wing.
  3. The simplest way to explain the behavior of any bureaucratic organization is to assume that it is controlled by a cabal of its enemies.

(Conquest’s Second Law is probably not Conquest’s. It is also accurately attributed as O’Sullivan’s First Law. Apocryphal or not, however, this ordering has become canonical.)

Cunningham’s Law

The best way to get the right answer on the Internet is not to ask a question; it’s to post the wrong answer.

Levine’s Law

You never see prosecutors announce a murder conviction by saying “this murderer violated the very important law against murder.” Any time a regulator has to say explicitly that a rule is “very important,” that’s because he has some doubts.

Occam’s Broom

In the heat of battle, even serious scientists sometimes cannot resist “overlooking” some data that seriously undermine their pet theory.

(attributed to Sydney Brenner; this formulation by Daniel Dennett)

Stein’s Law

If something cannot go on forever, it will stop.

…which seems like a good one to end this post on.

***

UPDATE 20 July 2020: Added some laws.

UPDATE 22 August 2020: Added some laws.

UPDATE 15 September 2020: Added Occam’s Broom.

UPDATE 9 March 2022: Added Hodes’ Law. (h/t Rachel Lu)

UPDATE 26 Sepetember 2022: Added Thane’s Law and Heal’s Law (h/t master-thief)

UPDATE 1 October 2022: Added Levine’s Law.

UPDATE 17 November 2022: Clarification about Conquest’s Laws.

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